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Valuation Advisor

Introduction

The valuation of your startup is key as it determines how much of the company you retain and the percentage ownership by the investor. At the outset it is important to remember that it will be much better to own a smaller percentage of a large success than a large percent of a startup that doesn't get off the ground.

Unfortunately the topic of valuation with a VC can quickly submarine your startup. Since the market corrections of early 2000, the "cost" of VC capital has gone up, that is to say, the pre-money valuations of startups has gone down, resulting in an increase of percentage ownership by VC's in return for their investment. If a VC inquires about your valuation during your initial interactions and your numbers are out of the ballpark, you may be dismissed out of hand as uninformed or inexperienced. Better to be unspecific and communicate the key message of flexibility.

This section of the Toolbox will address a few methods and messaging when discussing early stage technology company valuations, but before proceeding further, here are the definitions of a few key terms:

Valuation - a general term describing how much your business is worth to an investor.

Pre-money valuation - the somewhat subjective valuation of your startup prior to the VC actually investing capital in the business. This amount is negotiated between the VC and startup (usually with the assistance of counsel) and may be based on a number of factors (discussed in more detail below).

Post-money valuation - this is the total amount of the pre-money valuation plus the actual investment made in the startup by the VC.

VC ownership percentage (or the "cost of capital") - this percentage is the amount of the actual investment divided by the post-money valuation. The startup retains the balance. Note that over subsequent rounds of funding, which also include new valuation assessments (hopefully higher!), that the startup's percentages will likely "dilute".

Cap table - short for "capitalization table", this is a summary spreadsheet reflecting the ownership by the various parties in this negotiation. Cap tables typically reflect pre- and post-money ownership for initial financing (e.g. "Series A" VC funding) and forecasted subsequent rounds anticipated to achieve liquidity. Several examples of well-known companies can be found at http://www.nesheimgroup.com/publications_tables.html.

"Hair on the deal" - VC lingo describing undesirable factors surrounding early stage investors in the startup, typically by friends, family or angels. Often pre first-round "angel" or "family and friends" funding will attach a valuation on the startup that makes subsequent fundings undesirable to a VC. An alternative to avoid this problem is to seek "bridge" funding that takes the form of debt convertible to the first round, or "Series A" valuation terms, and may also include additional "warrants" in consideration for this early stage funding.

Term sheet - this is the document issued by the VC firm for startups they wish to fund. The term sheet includes a great deal of information, including proposed valuation and actual funding amounts. Again an experienced counsel is invaluable in understanding and negotiating the terms of the offer from the VC.

Variations in Value

Determining and discussing valuation is an extremely challenging and delicate matter. Should your initial meeting with a VC go well, this may be a question asked toward the close of your meeting time. If a VC inquires about your "valuation," they are seeking to know if you're in the "ballpark" and are an informed entrepreneur about the relative value of your startup.

The term relative is key. Think of early stage startup valuations as similar to the relative "comps" on real estate. VC's are interested in determining a valuation that is comparable to other company fundings in your marketplace. Their underlying goal is to negotiate the most favorable ownership percentage for the investment capital they intend place at risk in the venture. The ideal scenario is that both parties exit the negotiation believing that the deal is fair, although they would have both liked to have received more value on their side of the deal.

As a well-known Texas-area VC has put it... "valuation is mainly of interest only if the startup's performance is mediocre... if the business is a great success, everyone wins and the issue is moot... if the deal goes south, the valuation is meaningless... it is only when the business achieves mediocre performance against expectations do investors and entrepreneurs potentially quarrel over relative ownership and rights."

How to Determine Your Startup's Valuation

Research and do your homework. There are several ways to determine valuation for your startup. Know that with most of these methods the amount is subjective and may be difficult to base on objective facts. At the end of the day you may need to rely on the fairness of your investor to propose a valuation that is consistent with other known "comps" and also consistent with other relative valuations in his/her existing portfolio.

A no-cost method to research and potentially establish valuation is by searching for similar companies that have recently received funding via online information sites. While the amount of funding may be readily available, the pre-money valuation may not be. Sources for recent, searchable fundings include: localbusiness.com, Capital Growth Interactive and vfinance.com. Each of these sites provides free, keyword searchable databases of technology startup fundings that may be useful in comparing to your company's funding target.

Another, possibly more justifiable method is to use a professional valuation firm like Venture One. This firm offers a "Comparable Valuations Report" for a fee of $1,295.00 that specifically addresses your company's market space and locates comparable business fundings and valuations that you may use in your negotiations with a VC firm. Having said that, it is not advisable to enter a term sheet negotiation by waving a Venture One report in front of a VC and stating that this is the valuation you expect. Rather you should use this tool as backup to substantiate your position as the negotiations unfold.

On a final note, traditional methods of deriving a startup company's valuation through discounted cash flow (DCF) models, or assigning value to individual key contributors or forecasted sales and multiplying by a factor are not highly weighted, or may even be dismissed by the VC. However, check with your legal counsel about the value of assessing the impact on valuation for the intellectual property owned and developed by the startup.

Final Thoughts

If a VC asks about your valuation at the end of your initial meeting, try not to be coy, but avoid answering with a specific number if possible. The VC is most likely interested in your thought process used to arrive at a valuation over a specific number. In many cases you might suggest a range, for instance, a $6-7m pre-money valuation on a $3m investment for a post-money of $9-10m. In any case, flexibility is the key message you want to convey -- along with the fact that your primary interest is launching the startup about which you are passionate, and while changing the world through this startup you also intend to make a great deal of money for yourself and for the investor.

Tools

VentureWire Alert is a new, free daily e-mail service providing top headline news, a summary of each day's developments, including recent fundings, and coverage of general trends in the venture capital industry. There are also 2 excellent books on valuation by Alex Wilmerding: Term Sheets & Valuations: A Line by Line Look at the Intricacies of Venture Capital Term Sheets and Valuations and Deal Terms - The Finer Points of Venture Capital Deal Structures, Term Sheets, Stock Options and Getting Deals Done.

The Nesheim Group sells a spreadsheet program called QuickUp Equity that can be used to price and plan any round of funding on any date, from seed to IPO, for Friends & Family rounds, Angel deals, Venture Capital preferred stock or Corporate Strategic Partner deals. The Nesheim Group also has a Cost of Capital chart and a VC Pricing Guide that can help with pricing rounds of funding.

 

   
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